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Oct 8, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

2
icon for Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?

3
icon for No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

4
icon for Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?

5
icon for Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?

6
icon for Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?

Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?

7
icon for Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?

8
icon for Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?

9
icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?

10
icon for Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

11
icon for Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?

12
icon for Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?

13
icon for Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?

Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?

14
icon for Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

15
icon for Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?

16
icon for Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?

Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?

17
icon for Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?

Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?

18
icon for Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

19
icon for Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

20
icon for Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?

21
icon for Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

22
icon for Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

23
icon for Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

24
icon for Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

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Breaking news

Oct 8, 1:35 PM

British man who set out to walk around the entire world in 1998 finally returns home after 28 years, covering over 31,000 miles across 29 countries without transportation.

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Oct 8, 1:29 PM

Scientists warn sexually transmitted diarrhea is rapidly developing antibiotic resistance, with some infections becoming “close to untreatable.”

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Oct 8, 1:21 PM

The first request from Christa Pike after waking up from her botched lethal injection was reportedly for her iPad so she could “play games.”

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Oct 8, 1:10 PM

Hurricane Isaias rapidly intensifies as it approaches Florida and Alabama, with forecasters warning of potentially devastating storm surge, flooding, & tornadoes.

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Oct 8, 12:54 PM

Trump awards Elon Musk, Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, Michael Dell, & Satya Nadella the National Medal of Science.

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Oct 8, 12:46 PM

President Trump declares Elon Musk has “turned science fiction into reality.”

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Oct 8, 12:38 PM

Michigan Senate race tightens ahead of tonight's first debate between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed & Republican Mike Rogers. El-Sayed favored at 69%.

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Oct 8, 12:32 PM

Fully AI-generated film titled “Gods Don’t Give Gifts” becomes the first to receive an official MPA rating, with its creators now planning an Academy Awards campaign.

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New polymarket

Oct 8, 12:11 PM

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

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Oct 8, 12:00 PM

Trump declares the U.S. will not attack Iran before the midterms, citing “productive discussions” with the Islamic regime.

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Oct 8, 11:41 AM

AI model ranking platform Arena surges to a valuation of $3,100,000,000.00 in new funding round.

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Oct 8, 11:31 AM

Trump declares anyone who uses the term Artificial Intelligence instead of Super Intelligence is “THE ENEMY!”

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Oct 8, 11:22 AM

USA Today files federal lawsuit against OpenAI, accusing them of using copyrighted news content without permission to train LLMs.

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Oct 8, 11:10 AM

White House announces “New Golden Age of Science,” investing $6B to accelerate breakthroughs in AI, quantum computing, nuclear fusion, & space exploration.

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Oct 8, 11:03 AM

Human Rights Watch accuses Trump administration of using deportations to African countries to “exploit suffering” & deter migration.

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Oct 8, 10:53 AM

AI startup Manus raises over $500 million after China forced Meta to unwind its massive acquisition of the company.

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Oct 8, 10:43 AM

San Francisco unanimously approves a temporary ban on new data centers.

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Oct 8, 10:31 AM

American Airlines announces plans to equip its entire fleet of more than 1,000 mainline aircraft with SpaceX's Starlink internet, beginning in 2027.

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Oct 8, 10:26 AM

Taylor Swift applies for ownership of the entire “.⁠taylorswift” internet domain extension, allowing her to create websites ending in her own name.

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Oct 8, 10:18 AM

Trump urges Ohio voters to “please pretend I’m on the ballot” ahead of November's midterm elections.

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Oct 8, 10:12 AM

U.S. prosecutors charge Nicolás Maduro & his wife with conspiring to torture American prisoners in Venezuela.

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Oct 8, 10:03 AM

UK authorities arrest 2 Latvian nationals near a military airbase, prompting an investigation by counter-terrorism police.

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Oct 8, 9:52 AM

Microsoft reveals plans to expand Xbox “beyond gaming,” establishing a new division focused on film, TV, live events, & theme parks.

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Oct 8, 9:45 AM

Trump administration suspends Microsoft, Adobe, & 6 major IT outsourcing firms from the federal labor certification program over alleged discrimination against American workers.

Breaking news

Oct 8, 9:40 AM

Vice President JD Vance blasts Microsoft for abusing the H-1B visa system "more than any other company in America."

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Oct 8, 9:33 AM

Slovakia announces plans to approve Tesla's Full Self-Driving within days, becoming the 9th EU country to do so.

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Oct 8, 9:25 AM

Denmark moves to ban the creation & sharing of AI deepfakes of people without their consent.

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Oct 8, 9:19 AM

Christa Pike is reportedly walking again after surviving multiple lethal injections during her botched execution in Tennessee last week.

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Oct 8, 9:10 AM

Drones strike a major data center owned by Russia's leading tech company Yandex, disrupting services across the country.

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Oct 8, 8:59 AM

Tropical Storm Rachel continues to swell off Mexico's coast, as Southern California & Baja California prepare for a significant pounding.

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Breaking news

Oct 8, 8:47 AM

Goldman Sachs executives are reportedly set to receive more than $500 million in special bonuses.

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Oct 8, 8:38 AM

Jeff Bezos predicts AI will boost productivity so dramatically that Americans could support entire families working just 3 days a week.

Breaking news

Oct 8, 8:27 AM

Silicon Valley engineer tells wife he would rather use an “AI voice clone” to read bedtime stories to their baby, sparking viral debate.

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Oct 8, 8:10 AM

Joe Rogan renews Spotify deal worth an estimated $250 million.

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Oct 8, 8:01 AM

California defense startup raises $30 million to build maneuverable satellite “bodyguards in space” to protect U.S. satellites from potential attacks.

New polymarket

Oct 8, 7:19 AM

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?

Breaking news

Oct 8, 6:17 AM

Denmark accuses Russia of launching sabotage attacks against Danish defense companies supplying weapons to Ukraine.

New polymarket

Oct 8, 5:11 AM

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

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Oct 8, 4:14 AM

British PM Andy Burnham & German Chancellor Friedrich Merz to hold “security talks” in Berlin amid rising Russian threats.

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Oct 8, 2:16 AM

UK's Royal Mail announces plans to cut up to 2,500 jobs by the end of 2027.

New polymarket

Oct 8, 1:17 AM

Gemini Argon released on...?

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Oct 8, 12:19 AM

North Korea rejects South Korea's offer of medical aid, calling it a “political provocation” and a violation of its sovereignty.

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Oct 7, 11:34 PM

Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz plunges to its lowest level in over 2 months.

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Oct 7, 11:25 PM

Hasan Piker reveals he’s “in favor” of pro-Palestinian protesters demonstrating against NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

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Oct 7, 10:53 PM

Jeff Bezos reveals he invested $28,000,000,000.00 of his own money into Blue Origin.

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Oct 7, 10:25 PM

Big Pharma lobby sues Trump administration to block new Medicare drug price cuts.

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Oct 7, 9:37 PM

Tropical storm Isaias projected to make landfall as a hurricane in Florida. 60% chance.

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Oct 7, 9:23 PM

New York accuses TikTok of secretly withholding a safety feature from millions of U.S. users to test whether it reduced time spent on the app.

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Oct 7, 9:01 PM

Association for Human Mathematics urges all mathematicians to boycott OpenAI following its release of 700+ mathematical research files.

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Oct 7, 8:39 PM

Texas voters receive political texts asking “Are you white?” as part of an attack campaign against Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico.

New polymarket

Oct 7, 8:30 PM

Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon?

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Oct 7, 8:21 PM

U.S. Coast Guard recruits its largest enlisted class in nearly 40 years, bringing in 5,445 new members in 2026.

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Oct 7, 7:32 PM

Pro-Palestine protest organizer accuses Mamdani of “betraying the Palestinian cause,” declaring she will never vote DSA again.

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Oct 7, 6:56 PM

RFK Jr. is reportedly planning a major federal initiative to investigate vaccine injuries.

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Oct 7, 6:31 PM

Anthropic study finds AI & robots together are already capable of performing tasks covering 81% of U.S. employment.

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Oct 7, 6:16 PM

Unearthed posts reveal Detroit socialists called Abdul El-Sayed a “comrade” years before the Michigan Senate candidate insisted he was capitalist.

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Oct 7, 5:59 PM

Trump assures that Russia's suspected plague outbreak is "probably not a bioweapon."

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Oct 7, 5:47 PM

Thousands march against Flávio Bolsonaro in Rio after he topped Lula in the first round of Brazil’s presidential election, chanting “Never again Bolsonaro.”

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Oct 7, 5:37 PM

“Goth MAGA” Republican Kelley Dennison, 27, could make history as the youngest woman ever elected to Congress. 2% chance.

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Oct 7, 5:27 PM

Nicolás Maduro reportedly expected to face new federal charges this week over his alleged role in the torture of Americans held in Venezuelan prisons.

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Oct 7, 5:09 PM

Will Angus to portray Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei in the upcoming OpenAI drama “Artificial.”

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Oct 7, 4:54 PM

Maoist Communist Union protesters accuse NYC Mayor Mamdani of being “pro-Israel” at a pro-palestine demonstration in New York City.

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Oct 7, 4:48 PM

Chinese fitness influencer disqualified from Berlin Marathon, dropped by sponsors after admitting she rode a bicycle during the race to “take a shortcut.”

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Oct 7, 4:32 PM

National Hurricane Center warns Tropical Storm Isaias could rapidly strengthen into a Category 3 hurricane before striking the U.S. gulf coast.

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Oct 7, 4:22 PM

Missouri sued for allegedly underfunding its historically Black Lincoln University by $361.6 million over more than 30 years.

New polymarket

Oct 7, 4:13 PM

Muse Charm released by...?

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Oct 7, 4:00 PM

Andrew Garfield reveals he stopped using ChatGPT after playing Sam Altman in upcoming film Artificial, saying the experience left him “a bit scared” of AI.

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Oct 7, 3:54 PM

Tennessee to consider a second execution attempt after Christa Pike survived multiple botched lethal injections.

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Oct 7, 3:45 PM

Democrats sue Trump administration over taxpayer-funded TV ads, alleging illegal government “propaganda.”

Breaking news

Oct 7, 3:34 PM

New research finds ChatGPT for Teens poses an “unacceptable risk,” with parental safety alerts reportedly failing to trigger during conversations about suicide & self-harm.